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Why a US-Style Housing Bust & Mortgage Crisis Can Happen in Canada, Australia, and Other Bubble Markets Recourse was no protection in the US against defaults and a financial crisis. This shows that when housing implodes hard enough after an enormous bubble, and if the bust is associated with a broader economic downturn, as housing busts.
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You can even determine the impact of any principal prepayments! Press the "Report" button for a full yearly or monthly amortization schedule. Old mortgage bonds at the heart of the 2008 global financial market crisis are on the road to becoming extinct. Like baby boomers eclipsed by millennials, older housing bonds soon will be outnumbered.
When enough local housing bubbles come together at the same time, even as some other housing markets remain calm, they turn into a national housing bubble, as illustrated in the chart above.
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Such a crisis could easily happen in Australia and Canada where prices are at all time highs, interest rates are climbing and defaults are beginning to increase. No country is immune from housing busts and mortgage crises. And because memories are short,
If it is 8% or 10%, it’s a major mortgage crisis. This is what the Bank of Canada is facing: Trying to tamp down on inflation by raising rates more than a tiny wee-bit could conjure up all kinds of problems. And not doing anything about inflation could too.